FB
FIRST BUSEY CORP /NV/ (BUSE)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered adjusted EPS of $0.64 and GAAP EPS of $0.58; both EPS and revenue modestly beat consensus, driven by 9 bps NIM expansion and lower deposit costs as balance sheet optimization progressed. Bold beat: EPS +1.5% vs consensus $0.624 and revenue +0.7% vs $196.0M* *
- Net interest margin rose to 3.58% (3.45% ex-PAA) on loan repricing and intentional runoff of $794.6M high-cost deposits, reducing spot deposit cost to 2.01% by quarter-end .
- Credit metrics improved: net charge-offs fell q/q, ACL coverage remained 3.67x NPLs, and classified assets dropped to 7.0% of capital; CET1 remained strong at an estimated 12.33% .
- Management expects deposit costs to decline further in Q4, an additional ~$115M high-cost deposit runoff, and operating expense ex-acquisition/restructuring near ~$112M in Q4—potential near-term catalysts for further NIM/efficiency gains .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- NIM expanded +9 bps q/q to 3.58% (3.45% ex-PAA), helped by new loan pricing spreads (+8 bps) and reduced funding costs (+7 bps) following targeted runoff of high-cost, non-relationship deposits .
- Efficiency improved: adjusted efficiency ratio fell to 54.85% vs 55.30% in Q2, with adjusted PPNR/avg assets up to 1.78% .
- CEO tone confident on optimization: “We continued to optimize our balance sheet... net interest margin expanding 9 bps... spot deposit cost improved 21 bps to 2.01%... Capital remained strong... Credit quality showed improvement...” .
What Went Wrong
- Loan balances contracted ($13.60B vs $13.81B in Q2) due to elevated payoffs, with management flagging continued CRE payoff pressure into year-end .
- Total noninterest income fell 8.2% q/q primarily due to lower securities gains, which boosted Q2 results, highlighting some volatility in non-core items .
- Preferred dividends ($5.1M) reduced net income available to common; the first Series B preferred dividend included extra days and added ~$0.5M that is not expected to recur .
Financial Results
Estimate comparison (Q3 2025):
- EPS actual $0.64 vs consensus $0.624; beat +1.5%*.
- Revenue actual $197.32M vs consensus $196.03M; beat +0.7%*.
-
of estimates: EPS 7; Revenue 6*.
Note: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment and revenue composition (Q3 2025):
Key KPIs:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: A Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was not available in our document system; we searched externally and did not find a full transcript. We rely on the press release and investor presentation for themes .
Management Commentary
- “We continued to optimize our balance sheet to be more efficient and profitable with adjusted return on average assets improving to 1.33% and net interest margin expanding 9 basis points to 3.58%... Deposit costs continued to fall... Capital remained strong... Credit quality showed improvement...” — Van A. Dukeman, Chairman & CEO .
- “Components of the 9 basis point increase in net interest margin... new loan pricing spreads (+8 bps), reduced deposit funding costs (+7 bps), preferred issuance/sub debt redemption (+5 bps), offsets from lower cash/securities (-6 bps) and lower purchase accounting (-3 bps)” .
Q&A Highlights
A full Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was not available to review; we searched and did not locate it . Themes inferred from investor materials include:
- Clarifications on deposit strategy: targeted runoff of high-cost deposits and expected additional ~$115M in Q4 .
- Expense trajectory and synergy timing: ~90% of announced saves embedded exiting Q3; target 100% by year-end; Q4 NIE ex-acq ~ $112M .
- Rate sensitivity positioning: -100 bps shock implies ~1.3% NII headwind over 12 months; hedging strategies under evaluation .
Estimates Context
- EPS: $0.64 vs consensus $0.624; beat by ~$0.02; seven estimates*. Revenue: $197.32M vs consensus $196.03M; beat by ~$1.29M; six estimates*. Likely upward pressure on near-term NIM and efficiency assumptions while maintaining caution on loan growth given payoff dynamics.
- Directional estimate revisions may reflect: lower deposit costs, continued PAA deceleration, and modest loan contraction; fee lines (wealth/treasury/payment) provide diversification that could cushion revenue in slower loan growth periods .
Note: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Balance sheet optimization is working: lower deposit costs and improving NIM should support near-term margin resilience even in a lower-rate backdrop .
- Credit normalizing post-acquisition: NCOs down, solid ACL coverage, and stable NPAs/Assets at 0.32% limit downside risk from credit shocks .
- Efficiency advancing: adjusted efficiency ratio at 54.85% with synergies ~90% in run-rate; Q4 NIE ex-acq targeted at ~$112M, supporting operating leverage .
- Loans contracting on elevated payoffs—expect continued CRE runoff pressure; watch production momentum and pricing discipline (loan yield 7.06% on net new funding) .
- Strong capital and TBV accretion: CET1 12.33% (est.), TCE/TA 9.88%, active buybacks (580k shares, $13.5M in Q3), common dividend $0.25 (4.3% yield referenced in presentation) .
- Fee diversification is tangible: wealth AUC at $14.96B and treasury/payment capabilities scaling, reducing reliance on spread income .
- Near-term trade: stock sensitive to further deposit cost declines/NIM beats and visible expense run-rate control; medium term thesis hinges on organic growth in new markets, talent addition, and fee franchise scaling .