Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

FB

FIRST BUSEY CORP /NV/ (BUSE)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered adjusted EPS of $0.64 and GAAP EPS of $0.58; both EPS and revenue modestly beat consensus, driven by 9 bps NIM expansion and lower deposit costs as balance sheet optimization progressed. Bold beat: EPS +1.5% vs consensus $0.624 and revenue +0.7% vs $196.0M* *
  • Net interest margin rose to 3.58% (3.45% ex-PAA) on loan repricing and intentional runoff of $794.6M high-cost deposits, reducing spot deposit cost to 2.01% by quarter-end .
  • Credit metrics improved: net charge-offs fell q/q, ACL coverage remained 3.67x NPLs, and classified assets dropped to 7.0% of capital; CET1 remained strong at an estimated 12.33% .
  • Management expects deposit costs to decline further in Q4, an additional ~$115M high-cost deposit runoff, and operating expense ex-acquisition/restructuring near ~$112M in Q4—potential near-term catalysts for further NIM/efficiency gains .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • NIM expanded +9 bps q/q to 3.58% (3.45% ex-PAA), helped by new loan pricing spreads (+8 bps) and reduced funding costs (+7 bps) following targeted runoff of high-cost, non-relationship deposits .
  • Efficiency improved: adjusted efficiency ratio fell to 54.85% vs 55.30% in Q2, with adjusted PPNR/avg assets up to 1.78% .
  • CEO tone confident on optimization: “We continued to optimize our balance sheet... net interest margin expanding 9 bps... spot deposit cost improved 21 bps to 2.01%... Capital remained strong... Credit quality showed improvement...” .

What Went Wrong

  • Loan balances contracted ($13.60B vs $13.81B in Q2) due to elevated payoffs, with management flagging continued CRE payoff pressure into year-end .
  • Total noninterest income fell 8.2% q/q primarily due to lower securities gains, which boosted Q2 results, highlighting some volatility in non-core items .
  • Preferred dividends ($5.1M) reduced net income available to common; the first Series B preferred dividend included extra days and added ~$0.5M that is not expected to recur .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Operating Revenue (Non-GAAP) ($USD Millions)$117.688 $192.049 $196.667
Diluted EPS (GAAP) ($)$0.55 $0.52 $0.58
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.57 $0.63 $0.64
Net Income (GAAP) ($USD Millions)$32.004 $47.404 $57.098
NIM (tax-equivalent, Non-GAAP) (%)3.02 3.49 3.58
Adjusted NIM (ex-PAA, %)2.97 3.33 3.45
Efficiency Ratio (Non-GAAP, %)61.81 63.91 58.51
Adjusted Efficiency Ratio (%)60.16 55.30 54.85
ROAA (GAAP, %)1.06 1.00 1.21
Adjusted ROAA (%)1.09 1.21 1.33
ROATCE (GAAP, %)12.80 11.24 11.96
Adjusted ROATCE (%)13.17 13.61 13.20

Estimate comparison (Q3 2025):

  • EPS actual $0.64 vs consensus $0.624; beat +1.5%*.
  • Revenue actual $197.32M vs consensus $196.03M; beat +0.7%*.
  • of estimates: EPS 7; Revenue 6*.

Note: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment and revenue composition (Q3 2025):

Noninterest Income Component ($USD Thousands)Q3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Wealth management fees$15,378 $16,777 $17,184
Payment technology solutions$5,265 $4,956 $5,092
Treasury management services$2,201 $4,981 $4,598
Card services and ATM fees$3,557 $4,880 $4,799
Other service charges on deposit accounts$2,390 $1,513 $1,617
Mortgage revenue$355 $776 $657
Income on BOLI$1,189 $1,745 $1,623
Other noninterest income$4,706 $3,238 $5,916
Total noninterest income$35,845 $44,863 $41,198

Key KPIs:

KPIQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Total Deposits ($USD Billions)$9.943 $15.802 $15.070
Core Deposits (% of total)96.46% 92.52% 93.81%
Spot Deposit Cost (%)2.22% 2.01%
Total Deposit Cost of Funds (%)2.21% 2.15%
Portfolio Loans ($USD Billions)$7.809 $13.809 $13.598
NPLs / Loans (%)0.11% 0.40% 0.35%
NPAs / Assets (%)0.07% 0.31% 0.32%
ACL / Loans (%)1.09% 1.33% 1.28%
Coverage (ACL / NPLs, x)10.34x 3.36x 3.67x
Classified assets / capital (%)5.89% 7.70% 7.03%
CET1 (%)13.78% 12.22% 12.33% (est.)
TCE / TA (%)8.90% 9.27% 9.88%
Wealth AUC ($USD Billions)$13.69 $14.10 $14.96

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Total deposit cost of fundsQ4 2025Normalize 45–50% beta to Fed funds; Q2 cost rose to 2.21%, betas to lessen over year Expect further decrease in Q4 as rate cuts flow through and optimization continues; spot cost 2.01% at 9/30 Maintained directional; near-term lower costs
Intentional runoff of high-cost depositsQ4 2025Brokered balances reduced $368.6M in Q2 Additional ~$115M runoff (4.3% rate) anticipated in Q4 2025 New specific amount
Net interest income rate sensitivityNext 12 months+100 bps shock: +2.8% NII (Q2) -100 bps shock: -1.3% NII (Q3) Updated sensitivity profile
Adjusted noninterest expense (ex-acq/restruct. incl. amort.)Q4 2025~$112M expected New
Deposit campaigns/CD term & rateQ3 2025 actualQ2 CDs: 8.0 months, 3.74% Q3 CDs: 7.6 months, 3.79% (50 bps below wholesale equivalent) Maintained approach

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: A Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was not available in our document system; we searched externally and did not find a full transcript. We rely on the press release and investor presentation for themes .

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1–Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Balance sheet optimization & deposit costPlan to unwind non-core funding; deposit beta to normalize 45–50%; brokered balances reduced $368.6M (Q2) Intentional runoff $794.6M high-cost deposits; spot deposit cost down 21 bps to 2.01%; further declines expected in Q4 Improving funding mix; cost trending down
NIM trajectory+21 bps in Q1 (3.16%); +33 bps in Q2 (3.49%) with PAA contribution +9 bps to 3.58%; ex-PAA 3.45%; drivers: loan repricing, lower funding costs Sustained expansion
Credit quality & PCD dynamicsElevated NCOs in Q1 on PCD; stable coverage; classified assets rose post-acquisition NCOs down q/q; ACL/NPLs coverage 3.67x; classified assets to capital 7.0% Stabilizing/improving
CRE payoff pressureExpect paydowns through 2025 (Q2) Continued pressure, elevated payoffs outpacing new production Ongoing headwind
Expense synergies & hiring$25M annual cost saves on track; ramping talent post-merger (Q2) ~90% of saves in run-rate exiting Q3; expect 100% by YE; 45+ new producers; forecast Q4 NIE ex-acq ~ $112M Synergies flowing; invest in growth
Wealth & treasury/payment growthWM revenues at record; TM/Interchange up post-merger (Q2) AUC $14.96B (+6% q/q); WM rev $17.4M; treasury services + corporate card interchange annualized to ~$22.8M Strengthening fee mix

Management Commentary

  • “We continued to optimize our balance sheet to be more efficient and profitable with adjusted return on average assets improving to 1.33% and net interest margin expanding 9 basis points to 3.58%... Deposit costs continued to fall... Capital remained strong... Credit quality showed improvement...” — Van A. Dukeman, Chairman & CEO .
  • “Components of the 9 basis point increase in net interest margin... new loan pricing spreads (+8 bps), reduced deposit funding costs (+7 bps), preferred issuance/sub debt redemption (+5 bps), offsets from lower cash/securities (-6 bps) and lower purchase accounting (-3 bps)” .

Q&A Highlights

A full Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was not available to review; we searched and did not locate it . Themes inferred from investor materials include:

  • Clarifications on deposit strategy: targeted runoff of high-cost deposits and expected additional ~$115M in Q4 .
  • Expense trajectory and synergy timing: ~90% of announced saves embedded exiting Q3; target 100% by year-end; Q4 NIE ex-acq ~ $112M .
  • Rate sensitivity positioning: -100 bps shock implies ~1.3% NII headwind over 12 months; hedging strategies under evaluation .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: $0.64 vs consensus $0.624; beat by ~$0.02; seven estimates*. Revenue: $197.32M vs consensus $196.03M; beat by ~$1.29M; six estimates*. Likely upward pressure on near-term NIM and efficiency assumptions while maintaining caution on loan growth given payoff dynamics.
  • Directional estimate revisions may reflect: lower deposit costs, continued PAA deceleration, and modest loan contraction; fee lines (wealth/treasury/payment) provide diversification that could cushion revenue in slower loan growth periods .

Note: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Balance sheet optimization is working: lower deposit costs and improving NIM should support near-term margin resilience even in a lower-rate backdrop .
  • Credit normalizing post-acquisition: NCOs down, solid ACL coverage, and stable NPAs/Assets at 0.32% limit downside risk from credit shocks .
  • Efficiency advancing: adjusted efficiency ratio at 54.85% with synergies ~90% in run-rate; Q4 NIE ex-acq targeted at ~$112M, supporting operating leverage .
  • Loans contracting on elevated payoffs—expect continued CRE runoff pressure; watch production momentum and pricing discipline (loan yield 7.06% on net new funding) .
  • Strong capital and TBV accretion: CET1 12.33% (est.), TCE/TA 9.88%, active buybacks (580k shares, $13.5M in Q3), common dividend $0.25 (4.3% yield referenced in presentation) .
  • Fee diversification is tangible: wealth AUC at $14.96B and treasury/payment capabilities scaling, reducing reliance on spread income .
  • Near-term trade: stock sensitive to further deposit cost declines/NIM beats and visible expense run-rate control; medium term thesis hinges on organic growth in new markets, talent addition, and fee franchise scaling .